FOMC Split Lifted Yields; Stocks Rose
February 18, 2026 at 21:00 UTC

Key Points
- FOMC minutes showed policy divisions and upside inflation risks, which pushed Treasury yields higher and supported the dollar while weighing on rate-sensitive assets.
- UK CPI slowed to 3.0% y/y, which increased odds of earlier BoE easing and prompted sterling weakness and lower gilt yields.
- RBNZ held the OCR at 2.25% and signaled policy likely to remain accommodative, keeping NZD and local rate pricing in focus.
- Despite the hawkish read, US and European equities closed higher as markets digested minutes; energy led sector gains while utilities and real estate lagged.
Global Market Summary
US stocks closed higher as markets digested FOMC minutes that revealed divisions over the policy path; the S&P 500 (SPX) rose 0.68%, the Nasdaq (^IXIC) gained 0.93% and the Dow (DJIA) added 0.37%. European benchmarks advanced with the CAC 40 (FRA40) up 0.81%, the FTSE 100 (UKX) up 1.23% and the DAX (DAX) up 1.12% after UK CPI slowed to 3.0% y/y, which increased odds of earlier BoE easing. Asia was led by Japan's Nikkei (NKY), which rose 1.02% as markets traded through the day's macro releases.
Top Movers
Energy led sector gains with XLE (+2.06%) the top-performing ETF, while utilities (XLU -1.65%) and real estate (VNQ -1.10%) lagged. Notable individual gainers included IBRX (+42.28%), EMAT (+25.29%) and GLBE (+18.45%). Leading decliners were ACLS (-17.16%), COCO (-13.50%) and DINO (-10.99%).
Macro highlights
FOMC minutes showed divisions among policymakers and highlighted upside inflation risks, a tone markets read as hawkish that pushed Treasury yields higher and supported the dollar while weighing on rate-sensitive assets. UK CPI slowed to 3.0% year-on-year in January, increasing odds of earlier Bank of England easing and prompting sterling weakness and lower gilt yields. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand held the OCR at 2.25% and signaled policy likely to remain accommodative, keeping NZD and local rate pricing under focus.
News that moved markets
Analog Devices (ADI) reported fiscal Q1 revenue of $3.16 billion, raised the quarterly dividend to $1.10 and highlighted strong free cash flow, a combination that supported ADI shares and influenced semiconductor supplier re-rating. Garmin (GRMN) posted record Q4 and FY2025 results, raised its annual dividend and authorized a $500 million share repurchase, driving positive investor reaction to stronger margins and cash generation. SM Energy (SM) agreed to sell South Texas assets for $950 million to Caturus, a cash transaction management said will accelerate deleveraging and alter capital-allocation optionality. Reddy Ice completed the acquisition of Arctic Glacier, and Prenetics completed the $70 million sale of Insighta to Tencent. Several announced transactions were reported as well, including Flow Control Management's acquisition of Kingston Valve Co and TitanX's purchase of FrontSpin.
Upcoming session watchlist
- Japan Inflation Rate YoY (JAN) — forecast 1.9% vs 2.1% prior, Feb 19, 11:30 PM | Signals near-term inflation trend and price pressure trajectory.
- US Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv (DEC) — forecast 0.1% vs 0.2% prior, Feb 19, 01:30 PM | Indicates inventory balance that affects GDP tracking and supply-demand dynamics.
- US Pending Home Sales YoY (JAN) — vs -3.0% prior, Feb 19, 03:00 PM | Gauges housing demand momentum and pipeline for existing home sales.
Key Takeaways
- US stocks closed higher, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow all posting gains as markets digested the FOMC minutes.
- European benchmarks advanced after UK CPI slowed, and Japan's Nikkei led Asian gains as markets traded through macro releases.
- Energy led sector gains with XLE the top-performing ETF, while utilities (XLU) and real estate (VNQ) were notable laggards.
- Analog Devices and Garmin reported strong results and raised dividends, supporting their shares and influencing semiconductor and hardware supplier re-ratings.
References
- 1. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/analog-devices-reports-fiscal-first-quarter-2026-financial-results-302691090.html
- 2. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/garmin-announces-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-year-2025-results-302691157.html
- 3. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/sm-energy-announces-agreement-to-sell-950-million-in-assets-302691184.html
- 4. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260218a.htm
- 5. https://investor.analog.com/news-releases/news-release-details/analog-devices-reports-fiscal-first-quarter-2026-financial
- 6. https://ir.moodys.com/press-releases/news-details/2026/Moodys-Corporation-Reports-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2025/default.aspx
- 7. https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/news/2026/02/ocr-on-hold-at-2-25-with-inflation-expected-to-fall
- 8. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/january2026
- 9. https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy.htm
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