FOMC Split Lifted Yields; Stocks Rose

February 18, 2026 at 21:00 UTC

5 min read
FOMC minutes impact: yields and dollar rise, US and European equities close higher

Key Points

  • FOMC minutes showed policy divisions and upside inflation risks, which pushed Treasury yields higher and supported the dollar while weighing on rate-sensitive assets.
  • UK CPI slowed to 3.0% y/y, which increased odds of earlier BoE easing and prompted sterling weakness and lower gilt yields.
  • RBNZ held the OCR at 2.25% and signaled policy likely to remain accommodative, keeping NZD and local rate pricing in focus.
  • Despite the hawkish read, US and European equities closed higher as markets digested minutes; energy led sector gains while utilities and real estate lagged.

Global Market Summary

US stocks closed higher as markets digested FOMC minutes that revealed divisions over the policy path; the S&P 500 (SPX) rose 0.68%, the Nasdaq (^IXIC) gained 0.93% and the Dow (DJIA) added 0.37%. European benchmarks advanced with the CAC 40 (FRA40) up 0.81%, the FTSE 100 (UKX) up 1.23% and the DAX (DAX) up 1.12% after UK CPI slowed to 3.0% y/y, which increased odds of earlier BoE easing. Asia was led by Japan's Nikkei (NKY), which rose 1.02% as markets traded through the day's macro releases.

Top Movers

Energy led sector gains with XLE (+2.06%) the top-performing ETF, while utilities (XLU -1.65%) and real estate (VNQ -1.10%) lagged. Notable individual gainers included IBRX (+42.28%), EMAT (+25.29%) and GLBE (+18.45%). Leading decliners were ACLS (-17.16%), COCO (-13.50%) and DINO (-10.99%).

Macro highlights

FOMC minutes showed divisions among policymakers and highlighted upside inflation risks, a tone markets read as hawkish that pushed Treasury yields higher and supported the dollar while weighing on rate-sensitive assets. UK CPI slowed to 3.0% year-on-year in January, increasing odds of earlier Bank of England easing and prompting sterling weakness and lower gilt yields. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand held the OCR at 2.25% and signaled policy likely to remain accommodative, keeping NZD and local rate pricing under focus.

News that moved markets

Analog Devices (ADI) reported fiscal Q1 revenue of $3.16 billion, raised the quarterly dividend to $1.10 and highlighted strong free cash flow, a combination that supported ADI shares and influenced semiconductor supplier re-rating. Garmin (GRMN) posted record Q4 and FY2025 results, raised its annual dividend and authorized a $500 million share repurchase, driving positive investor reaction to stronger margins and cash generation. SM Energy (SM) agreed to sell South Texas assets for $950 million to Caturus, a cash transaction management said will accelerate deleveraging and alter capital-allocation optionality. Reddy Ice completed the acquisition of Arctic Glacier, and Prenetics completed the $70 million sale of Insighta to Tencent. Several announced transactions were reported as well, including Flow Control Management's acquisition of Kingston Valve Co and TitanX's purchase of FrontSpin.

Upcoming session watchlist

  • Japan Inflation Rate YoY (JAN) — forecast 1.9% vs 2.1% prior, Feb 19, 11:30 PM | Signals near-term inflation trend and price pressure trajectory.
  • US Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv (DEC) — forecast 0.1% vs 0.2% prior, Feb 19, 01:30 PM | Indicates inventory balance that affects GDP tracking and supply-demand dynamics.
  • US Pending Home Sales YoY (JAN) — vs -3.0% prior, Feb 19, 03:00 PM | Gauges housing demand momentum and pipeline for existing home sales.

Key Takeaways

  • US stocks closed higher, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow all posting gains as markets digested the FOMC minutes.
  • European benchmarks advanced after UK CPI slowed, and Japan's Nikkei led Asian gains as markets traded through macro releases.
  • Energy led sector gains with XLE the top-performing ETF, while utilities (XLU) and real estate (VNQ) were notable laggards.
  • Analog Devices and Garmin reported strong results and raised dividends, supporting their shares and influencing semiconductor and hardware supplier re-ratings.