Global Market Snapshot

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 20:53 UTC

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20:53:43 UTC

Macro Pulse
Proprietary macro indicators

Market Sentiment

62

Composite of volatility, credit spreads, equity returns and yield moves on a 0–100 scale.

Fed Watch Hawk-Dove Index

100

Measures market-implied Fed policy bias.

Buffett Indicator (Raw %)

222

Total domestic stock market capitalization as a percentage of nominal GDP.

10Y T-Note Commitment Index

42

Net non-commercial positioning in 10-year U.S. Treasury futures.

Oil Inventory Surprise

0

Weekly deviation of U.S. commercial crude oil stocks from consensus.

Global Liquidity (M2 YoY) Index

29

Shows annual growth of U.S. M2 money supply on a 0–100 scale.

Data: FRED • CFTC • EIA • FMP
Economic Calendar

Macro releases and events in GMT.

DateCountryEventActualPreviousForecastImpact

Feb 22, 21:45

Retail Sales QoQ
1.9%1.9%
0.6%0.6%
High

Feb 22, 21:45

Retail Sales YoY
4.5%4.5%
3.6%3.6%
High

Feb 23, 02:00

Inflation Rate YoY
1%1%
1.1%1.1%
High

Feb 23, 02:00

Inflation Rate MoM
-0.1%-0.1%
0.0%0.0%
High

Feb 23, 02:00

Credit Card Spending YoY
-0.3%-0.3%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 23, 02:30

5-Year KTB Auction
3.385%3.385%
High

Feb 23, 03:00

M2 Money Supply YoY
9.6%9.6%
High

Feb 23, 04:00

Interest Rate Decision
11%11%
11.0%11.0%
High

Feb 23, 05:00

Core Inflation Rate YoY
1.2%1.2%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 23, 05:00

Inflation Rate MoM
0.3%0.3%
-0.2%-0.2%
High

Feb 23, 05:00

Inflation Rate YoY
1.2%1.2%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 23, 07:00

Current Account
$-3.3B$-3.3B
$-3.6B$-3.6B
High

Feb 23, 07:30

Producer & Import Prices YoY
-1.8%-1.8%
-1.1%-1.1%
High

Feb 23, 07:30

Producer & Import Prices MoM
-0.2%-0.2%
0.1%0.1%
High

Feb 23, 08:00

Balance of Trade
$-519.4M$-519.4M
$-600.0M$-600.0M
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Ifo Current Conditions
85.785.7
86.186.1
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Ifo Business Climate
87.687.6
88.488.4
Low

Feb 23, 09:00

Ifo Expectations
89.589.5
90.590.5
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Inflation Rate MoM Final
0.2%0.2%
0.4%0.4%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final
0.2%0.2%
-1%-1%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Inflation Rate YoY Final
1.2%1.2%
1%1%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final
1.2%1.2%
1%1%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Retail Sales YoY
5.3%5.3%
3.1%3.1%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

182-Day T-Bill Auction
6.93%6.93%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

364-Day T-Bill Auction
6.95%6.95%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

273-Day T-Bill Auction
6.97%6.97%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

91-Day T-Bill Auction
6.67%6.67%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

Business Confidence
-3-3
-2-2
High

Feb 23, 10:00

Tourist Arrivals YoY
17.8%17.8%
High

Feb 23, 10:05

9-Month NTB Auction
High

Feb 23, 11:00

Unemployment Rate
6.9%6.9%
6.7%6.7%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

Wholesale Prices YoY
-6.4%-6.4%
-6.7%-6.7%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

Wholesale Prices MoM
-0.6%-0.6%
-0.2%-0.2%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

FGV Consumer Confidence
87.387.3
8888
High

Feb 23, 11:00

Balance of Trade
-557.4M-557.4M
-420.0M-420.0M
High

Feb 23, 11:00

2033 OLO Auction
2.804%2.804%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

2036 OLO Auction
High

Feb 23, 11:10

2028 EU-Bonds Auction
High

Feb 23, 11:10

2030 EU-Bonds Auction
2.586%2.586%
High

Feb 23, 11:10

2038 EU-Bonds Auction
High

Feb 23, 11:30

BCB Focus Market Readout
Medium

Feb 23, 12:00

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final
-0.1%-0.1%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 23, 12:00

Economic Activity YoY
-0.1%-0.1%
2.6%2.6%
High

Feb 23, 12:00

Economic Activity MoM
-0.2%-0.2%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 23, 12:00

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
-0.3%-0.3%
0.8%0.8%
High

Feb 23, 13:00

M3 Money Supply YoY
10.4%10.4%
10.4%10.4%
High

Feb 23, 13:00

Fed Waller Speech
Medium

Feb 23, 13:30

Chicago Fed National Activity Index
0.30.3
Medium

Feb 23, 13:30

Chicago Fed National Activity Index
-0.04-0.04
0.10.1
Medium

Feb 23, 14:00

Interest Rate Decision
4%4%
3.75%3.75%
Medium