Global Market Snapshot

Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 21:17 UTC

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21:17:53 UTC

Macro Pulse
Proprietary macro indicators

Market Sentiment

64

Composite of volatility, credit spreads, equity returns and yield moves on a 0–100 scale.

Fed Watch Hawk-Dove Index

100

Measures market-implied Fed policy bias.

Buffett Indicator (Raw %)

227

Total domestic stock market capitalization as a percentage of nominal GDP.

10Y T-Note Commitment Index

42

Net non-commercial positioning in 10-year U.S. Treasury futures.

Oil Inventory Surprise

0

Weekly deviation of U.S. commercial crude oil stocks from consensus.

Global Liquidity (M2 YoY) Index

28

Shows annual growth of U.S. M2 money supply on a 0–100 scale.

Data: FRED • CFTC • EIA • FMP
Economic Calendar

Macro releases and events in GMT.

DateCountryEventActualPreviousForecastImpact

Feb 25, 00:30

Inflation Rate YoY
3.8%3.8%
3.8%3.8%
3.7%3.7%
Medium

Feb 25, 00:30

Inflation Rate MoM
0.4%0.4%
1.0%1.0%
0.3%0.3%
Medium

Feb 25, 00:30

CPI
101.33101.33
100.97100.97
High

Feb 25, 00:30

RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM
0.3%0.3%
0.2%0.2%
0.3%0.3%
Medium

Feb 25, 00:30

RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY
3.4%3.4%
3.3%3.3%
3.3%3.3%
Medium

Feb 25, 00:30

RBA Weighted Median CPI MoM
0.3%0.3%
0.3%0.3%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 25, 00:30

RBA Weighted Median CPI YoY
3.6%3.6%
3.6%3.6%
3.5%3.5%
High

Feb 25, 00:30

Construction Work Done QoQ
-0.1%-0.1%
0.1%0.1%
0.9%0.9%
Medium

Feb 25, 01:01

Consumer Confidence
65.265.2
64.764.7
6565
High

Feb 25, 02:00

President Trump State of the Union Speech
Low

Feb 25, 03:35

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
1%1%
0.9%0.9%
1%1%
High

Feb 25, 03:35

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final
3.8%3.8%
3.7%3.7%
3.8%3.8%
High

Feb 25, 04:00

Coincident Index MoM
-0.02%-0.02%
-0.5%-0.5%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 25, 04:00

Leading Index MoM
0.5%0.5%
-2.2%-2.2%
1.2%1.2%
High

Feb 25, 05:00

2-Year Bond Yield
1.4%1.4%
1.67%1.67%
High

Feb 25, 07:00

Interest Rate Decision
1%1%
1.25%1.25%
1.25%1.25%
Medium

Feb 25, 07:00

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final
0.4%0.4%
0.3%0.3%
0.4%0.4%
High

Feb 25, 07:00

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
0.3%0.3%
0.0%0.0%
0.3%0.3%
High

Feb 25, 07:00

GfK Consumer Confidence
-24.7-24.7
-24.2-24.2
-23.1-23.1
Low

Feb 25, 07:00

Unemployment Rate
4.6%4.6%
4.3%4.3%
4.3%4.3%
High

Feb 25, 07:00

PPI MoM
2.4%2.4%
-1.1%-1.1%
0.5%0.5%
High

Feb 25, 07:00

PPI YoY
-2%-2%
-2.7%-2.7%
-3.9%-3.9%
High

Feb 25, 07:45

Consumer Confidence
9191
9090
9090
Medium

Feb 25, 08:00

ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting
High

Feb 25, 08:00

PPI YoY
-2.9%-2.9%
-3%-3%
-3.2%-3.2%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM
2%2%
-0.3%-0.3%
0.9%0.9%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

PPI YoY
8.6%8.6%
6.5%6.5%
7.0%7.0%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Inflation Rate YoY Final
2%2%
3.8%3.8%
2%2%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Balance of Trade
$-347.9M$-347.9M
$-450.9M$-450.9M
$-410.0M$-410.0M
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Industrial Production YoY
10.6%10.6%
38.6%38.6%
28.0%28.0%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Inflation Rate MoM Final
-0.7%-0.7%
0.3%0.3%
-0.7%-0.7%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
4.3%4.3%
4.1%4.1%
4%4%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Retail Sales YoY
0.7%0.7%
3.2%3.2%
1.3%1.3%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Economic Activity YoY
7.6%7.6%
14%14%
9.0%9.0%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

PPI YoY
-3%-3%
-2.1%-2.1%
-2.4%-2.4%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Construction Output YoY
18.7%18.7%
20.5%20.5%
16.0%16.0%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final
-0.8%-0.8%
0.5%0.5%
-0.8%-0.8%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

PPI MoM
-0.7%-0.7%
-0.2%-0.2%
-0.1%-0.1%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Unemployment Rate
3.36%3.36%
3.35%3.35%
3.4%3.4%
High

Feb 25, 08:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final
2%2%
3.8%3.8%
2%2%
High

Feb 25, 08:30

Inflation Rate YoY
1.1%1.1%
1.4%1.4%
1.2%1.2%
High

Feb 25, 08:30

Inflation Rate YoY
7.5%7.5%
9.4%9.4%
8.6%8.6%
High

Feb 25, 08:30

Inflation Rate MoM
0.2%0.2%
0.3%0.3%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 25, 08:30

Inflation Rate MoM
0.6%0.6%
0.5%0.5%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 25, 09:00

Economic Sentiment Index
9.89.8
-4.7-4.7
-1-1
High

Feb 25, 09:00

Unemployment Rate
7.3%7.3%
4.5%4.5%
4.5%4.5%
High

Feb 25, 09:00

UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI
49.449.4
47.247.2
4848
High

Feb 25, 09:10

ECB Machado Speech
High

Feb 25, 09:30

Tourist Arrivals YoY
7.9%7.9%
8.7%8.7%
6.0%6.0%
High

Feb 25, 10:00

CPI Final
100.05100.05
100.63100.63
100.08100.08
High