Global Market Snapshot

Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 20:52 UTC

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20:52:25 UTC

Macro Pulse
Proprietary macro indicators

Market Sentiment

69

Composite of volatility, credit spreads, equity returns and yield moves on a 0–100 scale.

Fed Watch Hawk-Dove Index

100

Measures market-implied Fed policy bias.

Buffett Indicator (Raw %)

223

Total domestic stock market capitalization as a percentage of nominal GDP.

10Y T-Note Commitment Index

44

Net non-commercial positioning in 10-year U.S. Treasury futures.

Oil Inventory Surprise

7

Weekly deviation of U.S. commercial crude oil stocks from consensus.

Global Liquidity (M2 YoY) Index

29

Shows annual growth of U.S. M2 money supply on a 0–100 scale.

Data: FRED • CFTC • EIA • FMP
Economic Calendar

Macro releases and events in GMT.

DateCountryEventActualPreviousForecastImpact

Feb 05, 00:30

Exports MoM
1.0%1.0%
-4.0%-4.0%
High

Feb 05, 00:30

Balance of Trade
A$3.373BA$3.373B
A$2.597BA$2.597B
A$3.3BA$3.3B
Low

Feb 05, 00:30

Imports MoM
-0.8%-0.8%
-0.2%-0.2%
High

Feb 05, 01:00

Core Inflation Rate YoY
2.8%2.8%
2.4%2.4%
2.3%2.3%
High

Feb 05, 01:00

Inflation Rate YoY
2%2%
1.8%1.8%
1.8%1.8%
Medium

Feb 05, 01:00

Inflation Rate MoM
0.8%0.8%
0.9%0.9%
0.4%0.4%
High

Feb 05, 01:01

AIB Services PMI
54.554.5
54.854.8
54.254.2
High

Feb 05, 03:30

Core Inflation Rate YoY
0.6%0.6%
0.59%0.59%
0.59%0.59%
High

Feb 05, 03:30

Inflation Rate YoY
-0.66%-0.66%
-0.28%-0.28%
-0.40%-0.40%
High

Feb 05, 03:35

30-Year JGB Auction
3.615%3.615%
3.447%3.447%
High

Feb 05, 04:00

Full Year GDP Growth
5.11%5.11%
5.03%5.03%
5%5%
Medium

Feb 05, 04:00

GDP Growth Rate QoQ
0.86%0.86%
1.42%1.42%
0.68%0.68%
High

Feb 05, 04:00

GDP Growth Rate YoY
5.39%5.39%
5.04%5.04%
5.01%5.01%
Medium

Feb 05, 05:00

Retail Sales YoY
2.7%2.7%
6.2%6.2%
5.5%5.5%
High

Feb 05, 05:00

Retail Sales MoM
-5.4%-5.4%
-0.2%-0.2%
0.9%0.9%
High

Feb 05, 05:10

Business Confidence
5555
56.456.4
56.856.8
High

Feb 05, 05:10

Balance of Trade
$-501.9M$-501.9M
$-488.8M$-488.8M
$-800M$-800M
High

Feb 05, 06:00

Industrial Production YoY
0.2%0.2%
3.3%3.3%
3.6%3.6%
High

Feb 05, 06:00

Industrial Production MoM
-1.8%-1.8%
6%6%
0.6%0.6%
High

Feb 05, 07:00

Factory Orders MoM
7.8%7.8%
5.7%5.7%
-2.2%-2.2%
Medium

Feb 05, 07:00

House Price Index MoM
-1%-1%
-1%-1%
-1.0%-1.0%
High

Feb 05, 07:00

Retail Sales YoY
-2.0%-2.0%
-3.9%-3.9%
-4.2%-4.2%
High

Feb 05, 07:00

Balance of Trade
-0.21B-0.21B
-0.34B-0.34B
-0.15B-0.15B
High

Feb 05, 07:00

Retail Sales MoM
0.6%0.6%
0.2%0.2%
0.4%0.4%
High

Feb 05, 07:30

Retail Sales YoY
3.5%3.5%
2.5%2.5%
3.4%3.4%
High

Feb 05, 07:45

Industrial Production MoM
-0.7%-0.7%
0.1%0.1%
0.2%0.2%
Medium

Feb 05, 08:00

Retail Sales MoM
-0.1%-0.1%
0.8%0.8%
0.5%0.5%
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Inflation Rate MoM
0.10%0.10%
0.14%0.14%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Retail Sales YoY
1.8%1.8%
4.5%4.5%
3.5%3.5%
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Retail Sales YoY
-5.0%-5.0%
-3.2%-3.2%
-2.8%-2.8%
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Inflation Rate YoY
0.69%0.69%
1.30%1.30%
1.2%1.2%
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Balance of Trade
-352M-352M
-84.6M-84.6M
-620.0M-620.0M
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Inflation Rate YoY Prel
1.6%1.6%
2.1%2.1%
1.7%1.7%
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Retail Sales MoM
0%0%
-0.7%-0.7%
-0.5%-0.5%
High

Feb 05, 08:00

Inflation Rate MoM Prel
0.9%0.9%
-0.3%-0.3%
0.9%0.9%
High

Feb 05, 08:20

Foreign Exchange Reserves
$604.46B$604.46B
$602.55B$602.55B
High

Feb 05, 08:30

HCOB Construction PMI
44.744.7
50.350.3
50.550.5
High

Feb 05, 08:30

HCOB Construction PMI
43.543.5
43.443.4
4444
High

Feb 05, 08:30

HCOB Construction PMI
45.345.3
47.447.4
4848
High

Feb 05, 08:30

HCOB Construction PMI
47.747.7
47.947.9
48.448.4
High

Feb 05, 09:00

New Car Sales YoY
3.4%3.4%
3.9%3.9%
2.0%2.0%
High

Feb 05, 09:00

Retail Sales MoM
-0.8%-0.8%
0.5%0.5%
0.4%0.4%
Medium

Feb 05, 09:00

Retail Sales YoY
0.9%0.9%
1.3%1.3%
1.4%1.4%
High

Feb 05, 09:30

S&P Global Construction PMI
46.446.4
40.140.1
4242
Medium

Feb 05, 09:40

3-Year Bonos Auction
2.341%2.341%
2.342%2.342%
High

Feb 05, 09:40

7-Year Obligacion Auction
2.905%2.905%
2.938%2.938%
High

Feb 05, 09:40

10-Year Obligacion Auction
3.223%3.223%
3.199%3.199%
High

Feb 05, 09:40

8-Year Index-Linked Obligacion Auction
2.39%2.39%
2.27%2.27%
High

Feb 05, 10:00

Retail Sales YoY
1.3%1.3%
2.4%2.4%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 05, 10:00

Retail Sales MoM
-0.5%-0.5%
0.1%0.1%
-0.2%-0.2%
Medium