Global Market Snapshot

Monday, February 23, 2026 at 21:04 UTC

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21:04:39 UTC

Macro Pulse
Proprietary macro indicators

Market Sentiment

63

Composite of volatility, credit spreads, equity returns and yield moves on a 0–100 scale.

Fed Watch Hawk-Dove Index

100

Measures market-implied Fed policy bias.

Buffett Indicator (Raw %)

230

Total domestic stock market capitalization as a percentage of nominal GDP.

10Y T-Note Commitment Index

42

Net non-commercial positioning in 10-year U.S. Treasury futures.

Oil Inventory Surprise

0

Weekly deviation of U.S. commercial crude oil stocks from consensus.

Global Liquidity (M2 YoY) Index

29

Shows annual growth of U.S. M2 money supply on a 0–100 scale.

Data: FRED • CFTC • EIA • FMP
Economic Calendar

Macro releases and events in GMT.

DateCountryEventActualPreviousForecastImpact

Feb 23, 02:00

Credit Card Spending YoY
1.0%1.0%
-0.2%-0.2%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 23, 02:30

5-Year KTB Auction
3.390%3.390%
3.385%3.385%
High

Feb 23, 03:00

M2 Money Supply YoY
10.0%10.0%
9.6%9.6%
High

Feb 23, 04:30

Exports YoY
24.4%24.4%
16.8%16.8%
High

Feb 23, 04:30

Balance of Trade
$-3.3B$-3.3B
$-0.35B$-0.35B
$-2.1B$-2.1B
High

Feb 23, 04:30

Imports YoY
29.4%29.4%
18.8%18.8%
High

Feb 23, 05:00

Core Inflation Rate YoY
1%1%
1.2%1.2%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 23, 05:00

Inflation Rate MoM
-0.5%-0.5%
0.3%0.3%
-0.2%-0.2%
High

Feb 23, 05:00

Inflation Rate YoY
1.4%1.4%
1.2%1.2%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 23, 07:10

Current Account
$-4.8B$-4.8B
$-3.3B$-3.3B
$-3.6B$-3.6B
High

Feb 23, 07:30

Producer & Import Prices YoY
-2.2%-2.2%
-1.8%-1.8%
-1.1%-1.1%
High

Feb 23, 07:30

Producer & Import Prices MoM
-0.2%-0.2%
-0.2%-0.2%
0.1%0.1%
High

Feb 23, 08:00

Balance of Trade
$-500.9M$-500.9M
$-519.4M$-519.4M
$-600.0M$-600.0M
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Ifo Current Conditions
86.786.7
85.785.7
86.386.3
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Ifo Business Climate
88.688.6
87.687.6
88.488.4
Low

Feb 23, 09:00

Ifo Expectations
90.590.5
89.689.6
90.390.3
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Inflation Rate MoM Final
0.4%0.4%
0.2%0.2%
0.4%0.4%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final
-1%-1%
0.2%0.2%
-1%-1%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Inflation Rate YoY Final
1%1%
1.2%1.2%
1%1%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final
1%1%
1.2%1.2%
1%1%
High

Feb 23, 09:00

Retail Sales YoY
4.4%4.4%
5.3%5.3%
3.1%3.1%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

182-Day T-Bill Auction
6.90%6.90%
6.93%6.93%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

364-Day T-Bill Auction
6.94%6.94%
6.95%6.95%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

273-Day T-Bill Auction
6.93%6.93%
6.97%6.97%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

91-Day T-Bill Auction
6.66%6.66%
6.67%6.67%
High

Feb 23, 09:30

Business Confidence
-8-8
-3-3
-2-2
High

Feb 23, 10:05

9-Month NTB Auction
4.05%4.05%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

Unemployment Rate
6.7%6.7%
6.9%6.9%
6.7%6.7%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

Wholesale Prices YoY
-5.2%-5.2%
-6.4%-6.4%
-6.7%-6.7%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

Wholesale Prices MoM
1.4%1.4%
-0.6%-0.6%
-0.2%-0.2%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

FGV Consumer Confidence
87.387.3
8888
High

Feb 23, 11:00

2033 OLO Auction
2.809%2.809%
2.804%2.804%
High

Feb 23, 11:00

2036 OLO Auction
3.207%3.207%
High

Feb 23, 11:10

2028 EU-Bonds Auction
2.185%2.185%
High

Feb 23, 11:10

2030 EU-Bonds Auction
2.454%2.454%
2.586%2.586%
High

Feb 23, 11:10

2038 EU-Bonds Auction
3.319%3.319%
High

Feb 23, 11:30

BCB Focus Market Readout
Medium

Feb 23, 12:00

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final
1.8%1.8%
-0.1%-0.1%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 23, 12:00

Economic Activity YoY
3.3%3.3%
-0.1%-0.1%
2.6%2.6%
High

Feb 23, 12:00

Economic Activity MoM
0.4%0.4%
-0.1%-0.1%
0.2%0.2%
High

Feb 23, 12:00

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
0.9%0.9%
0.1%0.1%
0.8%0.8%
High

Feb 23, 13:00

M3 Money Supply YoY
10%10%
10.4%10.4%
10.4%10.4%
High

Feb 23, 13:00

Fed Waller Speech
Medium

Feb 23, 13:10

Balance of Trade
$-490.2M$-490.2M
$-2466.4M$-2466.4M
High

Feb 23, 13:30

Chicago Fed National Activity Index
0.180.18
-0.21-0.21
0.30.3
Medium

Feb 23, 13:30

Chicago Fed National Activity Index
-0.21-0.21
-0.15-0.15
0.10.1
Medium

Feb 23, 14:00

Interest Rate Decision
4%4%
4%4%
3.75%3.75%
Medium

Feb 23, 14:00

6-Month BTF Auction
2.027%2.027%
2.026%2.026%
High

Feb 23, 14:00

12-Month BTF Auction
2.055%2.055%
2.040%2.040%
High

Feb 23, 14:00

3-Month BTF Auction
2.008%2.008%
2.004%2.004%
High