Global Market Snapshot

Monday, February 16, 2026 at 20:59 UTC

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20:59:55 UTC

Macro Pulse
Proprietary macro indicators

Market Sentiment

65

Composite of volatility, credit spreads, equity returns and yield moves on a 0–100 scale.

Fed Watch Hawk-Dove Index

100

Measures market-implied Fed policy bias.

Buffett Indicator (Raw %)

221

Total domestic stock market capitalization as a percentage of nominal GDP.

10Y T-Note Commitment Index

43

Net non-commercial positioning in 10-year U.S. Treasury futures.

Oil Inventory Surprise

100

Weekly deviation of U.S. commercial crude oil stocks from consensus.

Global Liquidity (M2 YoY) Index

29

Shows annual growth of U.S. M2 money supply on a 0–100 scale.

Data: FRED • CFTC • EIA • FMP
Economic Calendar

Macro releases and events in GMT.

DateCountryEventActualPreviousForecastImpact

Feb 16, 00:30

Non-Oil Exports MoM
0.70%0.70%
-8.80%-8.80%
High

Feb 16, 00:30

Non-Oil Exports YoY
9.30%9.30%
6.10%6.10%
13.5%13.5%
High

Feb 16, 01:30

Balance of Trade
$12.534B$12.534B
$4.501B$4.501B
$2.0B$2.0B
High

Feb 16, 02:00

Industrial Production YoY
0.35%0.35%
0.69%0.69%
2.0%2.0%
High

Feb 16, 02:25

Cash Remittances
$3.5B$3.5B
$2.9B$2.9B
High

Feb 16, 02:30

Full Year GDP Growth
2.4%2.4%
2.5%2.5%
2.2%2.2%
Medium

Feb 16, 02:30

GDP Growth Rate YoY
2.5%2.5%
1.2%1.2%
1%1%
Medium

Feb 16, 02:30

GDP Growth Rate QoQ
1.90%1.90%
-0.60%-0.60%
0.3%0.3%
Medium

Feb 16, 04:30

Capacity Utilization MoM
1.3%1.3%
-5.3%-5.3%
3.0%3.0%
High

Feb 16, 04:30

Industrial Production YoY Final
2.6%2.6%
-2.2%-2.2%
2.6%2.6%
High

Feb 16, 04:30

Industrial Production MoM Final
-0.1%-0.1%
-2.7%-2.7%
-0.1%-0.1%
High

Feb 16, 05:00

MAS 4-Week Bill Auction
1.3%1.3%
1.27%1.27%
High

Feb 16, 05:00

MAS 12-Week Bill Auction
1.34%1.34%
1.31%1.31%
High

Feb 16, 05:00

MAS 36-Week Bill Auction
1.32%1.32%
1.36%1.36%
High

Feb 16, 06:00

GDP Growth Rate YoY
2.7%2.7%
2.4%2.4%
2.6%2.6%
High

Feb 16, 06:00

Unemployment Rate
6.4%6.4%
7.1%7.1%
7.1%7.1%
High

Feb 16, 06:00

GDP Growth Rate QoQ
1.0%1.0%
0.0%0.0%
0.4%0.4%
High

Feb 16, 06:30

WPI Food Index YoY
1.41%1.41%
0.0%0.0%
0.7%0.7%
High

Feb 16, 06:30

WPI Inflation YoY
1.81%1.81%
0.83%0.83%
1.25%1.25%
High

Feb 16, 06:30

WPI Fuel YoY
-4.01%-4.01%
-2.31%-2.31%
-1.8%-1.8%
High

Feb 16, 06:30

WPI Manufacturing YoY
2.86%2.86%
1.82%1.82%
2.0%2.0%
High

Feb 16, 07:00

Employed Persons
5.914M5.914M
5.252M5.252M
5.24M5.24M
High

Feb 16, 07:00

Inflation Rate YoY
9.6%9.6%
9.7%9.7%
9.1%9.1%
High

Feb 16, 07:00

Inflation Rate MoM
0.86%0.86%
0.22%0.22%
0.4%0.4%
High

Feb 16, 07:00

Balance of Trade
75.9B75.9B
42.9B42.9B
NOK36.0BNOK36.0B
High

Feb 16, 07:00

Unemployment Rate
8.6%8.6%
8.3%8.3%
9.5%9.5%
High

Feb 16, 08:00

Industrial Production YoY
-6.6%-6.6%
8.1%8.1%
6.8%6.8%
High

Feb 16, 08:00

Core Inflation Rate MoM
0.7%0.7%
-0.4%-0.4%
0.8%0.8%
High

Feb 16, 08:00

GDP Growth Rate YoY
High

Feb 16, 08:00

Core Inflation Rate YoY
2.9%2.9%
3.0%3.0%
3%3%
High

Feb 16, 08:00

Inflation Rate MoM
1.8%1.8%
-0.3%-0.3%
1.6%1.6%
High

Feb 16, 08:00

Inflation Rate YoY
4.0%4.0%
3.8%3.8%
4%4%
High

Feb 16, 08:00

Budget Balance
TRY-214.54BTRY-214.54B
TRY-528.14BTRY-528.14B
High

Feb 16, 08:00

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash
0.2%0.2%
-0.5%-0.5%
0.2%0.2%
Medium

Feb 16, 09:00

Imports
71.24B71.24B
63.55B63.55B
High

Feb 16, 09:00

Balance of Trade
$-34.68B$-34.68B
$-25.04B$-25.04B
$-26.14B$-26.14B
Medium

Feb 16, 09:00

FDI (YTD) YoY
Medium

Feb 16, 09:00

Exports
36.56B36.56B
38.51B38.51B
High

Feb 16, 09:30

182-Day T-Bill Auction
6.93%6.93%
6.98%6.98%
High

Feb 16, 09:30

6-Month Bill Auction
High

Feb 16, 09:30

91-Day T-Bill Auction
6.67%6.67%
6.74%6.74%
High

Feb 16, 09:30

364-Day T-Bill Auction
6.95%6.95%
6.96%6.96%
High

Feb 16, 09:30

273-Day T-Bill Auction
6.97%6.97%
6.99%6.99%
High

Feb 16, 09:30

3-Month Bill Auction
High

Feb 16, 09:30

GDP Growth Rate QoQ
0.4%0.4%
0.8%0.8%
0.6%0.6%
High

Feb 16, 09:30

GDP Growth Rate YoY
2.0%2.0%
1.7%1.7%
1.7%1.7%
High

Feb 16, 10:00

Industrial Production MoM
-1.4%-1.4%
0.3%0.3%
-1.5%-1.5%
Medium

Feb 16, 10:00

Industrial Production YoY
1.2%1.2%
2.2%2.2%
1.3%1.3%
High

Feb 16, 10:30

Unemployment Rate
5%5%
4.8%4.8%
4.8%4.8%
High

Feb 16, 10:30

6-Month Bubill Auction
1.975%1.975%
1.986%1.986%
High