
Key Points
- 01August U.S. CPI printed 0.4% m/m and 3.4% y/y; core CPI was 0.3% m/m and 2.4% y/y, which pushed fed-funds futures to price roughly a 90% chance of a September Fed hike.
- 02U.S. and European equities rose after the CPI release, led by Technology and Industrials while Healthcare and Utilities lagged; several single stocks posted double-digit moves.
- 03Oil-supply disruptions, including the East–West Petroline shutdown and reported refinery strikes, lifted oil above $100 and extended a global bond selloff, pushing yields higher.
Global Market Summary
Top Movers
Technology VGT gained 1.2%, Industrials XLI 1.1%, Communication Services XLC 1.0% and Consumer Cyclical XLY 0.9%, while Real Estate VNQ and Financials XLF each rose about 0.7%; Materials XLB +0.4%, Staples XLP +0.3% and Energy XLE +0.3% also advanced, as Healthcare XLV -0.2% and Utilities XLU -0.3% lagged. Among single names, HPE +12.44%, DELL +11.98%, VICR +11.15%, BGSI +10.85% and HTFL +9.65% led gainers, whereas SMR -15.72%, SLS -14.42%, OKLO -9.10%, RML -9.03% and LEU -8.18% were the session's weakest performers.
Macro highlights
August U.S. CPI printed at 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year, with core CPI up 0.3% m/m and 2.4% y/y as gasoline prices rose 3.9% and wireless telephone services climbed 5.9%, pushing federal-funds futures to price roughly a 90% chance of a September Fed hike and to fully price two hikes by year-end, while 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields traded around 4.65% and 4.97%. The global bond selloff extended as oil above $100 and inflation worries lifted Australia's 3-year yield by 18 basis points to 5.047% and Japan's 10-year to about 2.97%, and the U.S. Treasury bought back $5.2 billion of bonds, below the $6 billion cap and about half of the $10.5 billion offered. Elsewhere, the Bank of Russia held its key rate at 14% in its first pause in about 15 months, UK GDP grew 0.4% m/m in July led by services and AI-linked computer programming, and investors looked to the preliminary Michigan consumer sentiment reading for September, forecast at 51.5 versus 51.7 previously.
News that moved markets
Oil-supply risk dominated headlines, as Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry shut the 7 million bpd East–West Petroline after attacks on pumping stations, Ukraine reported strikes and fires at Rosneft's Saratov refinery with 7 million tons of annual capacity, and satellite data showed Iran's exports falling from 1.85 million bpd in spring to about 255,000 bpd in August while non-Iranian Gulf exports rose to 8.4 million bpd and alternative routes lifted regional flows to around 10.8 million bpd. In equity and credit markets, China AI-chipmaker Enflame raised 6.12 billion yuan in a Shanghai STAR Market IPO at 142.18 yuan per share before the stock settled near 430 yuan on debut for an implied market value near 185 billion yuan, while Tencent (0700.HK) retained a 17.95% stake. U.S. convertible-bond issuance was reported at $131 billion year-to-date by Bloomberg and $135 billion by Goldman Sachs, including about $25 billion in August with just under half of supply from AI-linked issuers, and BRICS finance chiefs issued a joint call for IMF and World Bank reform, higher emerging-market quotas and greater use of local currencies and cross-border payment systems. Truecaller completed the acquisition of TextPlus Inc., and Lilly completed its acquisition of AtaiBeckley to advance therapies for treatment-resistant depression and other mental-health conditions. OLIN and HUNTSMAN reported expiration of the Hart-Scott-Rodino waiting period for their proposed merger, while Hypercharge entered a letter of intent to acquire REVS Charging LLC. Planetcast announced it would acquire BroadStream, adding integrated playout and accessibility products to its global media services.
Upcoming Session: Key Events
- 01CA Inflation Rate YoY (AUG) — forecast 3.0% vs 3% prior | Signals near-term inflation trend and consumer price pressures in the economy.
- 02IN Inflation Rate YoY (AUG) — forecast 4.7% vs 4.45% prior | Indicates consumer price inflation momentum and potential demand-side pressures in India.
- 03BR Business Confidence (SEP) — forecast 47.9 vs 46.3 prior | Measures business sentiment and expectations for near-term activity in Brazil.
Upcoming Session: Tickers to Watch
- 01Brent crude (UKOIL) — Saudi Arabia shut the 7 million bpd East–West Petroline after attacks and Ukraine reported refinery strikes while Iran exports plunged, pushing oil above $100. Expect elevated volatility and cross-session repricing at the NY open.
- 02Rosneft (ROSN.ME) — Ukraine reported strikes and fires at Rosneft's Saratov refinery (7 million tons annual capacity). Monitor Rosneft shares at the Moscow/European open for volatile gaps and intraday revaluation as markets parse downstream supply damage.
- 03Tencent (0700.HK) — China AI-chipmaker Enflame raised 6.12 billion yuan at 142.18 yuan and then settled near 430 yuan on debut, with Tencent (0700.HK) retaining a 17.95% stake. Watch Hong Kong trade for mark-to-market moves and sector rotation as desks reprice AI exposure.
- 04Australia 3-year yield (AU3Y) — Global bond selloff extended as oil topped $100 and inflation worries lifted Australia's 3-year yield by 18 basis points to 5.047%. Monitor local bond futures at the Sydney open for spillover and further yield adjustment into the new session.
Key Takeaways
- 01U.S. indices advanced after the CPI release: Dow and Nasdaq rose about 1% and the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 0.9%.
- 02Technology and Industrials led sector gains while Healthcare and Utilities lagged; notable single-stock moves included multiple double-digit winners and steep losers.
- 03Global bond yields rose as oil topped $100 and inflation worries increased; U.S. 2- and 10-year yields traded near 4.65% and 4.97%.
References
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2026-09-11/us-cpi-report-for-august-live-updates
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/russia-sanctions-bill-scheduled-for-a-us-house-vote-next-week
- https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/ubs-buys-7-9-billion-of-credit-suisse-bonds-in-biggest-buyback
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/ukraine-says-it-hit-major-oil-refinery-in-russia-s-volga-region
- https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/iran-s-oil-exports-stay-choked-as-us-naval-blockade-holds
- https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/russia-holds-rate-for-first-time-in-15-months-on-inflation-risks
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/us-convertible-bond-market-hits-record-as-ai-spending-surges
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/brics-finance-chiefs-call-for-urgent-imf-world-bank-reform
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/treasuries-fall-as-higher-than-expected-cpi-boosts-fed-hike-odds
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/fed-chairman-warsh-faces-pressure-to-put-up-or-shut-up-after-hot-cpi-report
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-10/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-11/fed-s-rate-decision-may-have-come-down-to-phone-plan-changes
- https://cnbc.com/2026/09/11/saudi-arabia-shut-down-east-west-crude-oil-pipeline.html
- https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09/11/business/inflation-cpi-report
- https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/global-bond-selloff-pushes-10-055855890.html