
Key Points
- 01Global bond selling accelerated and pushed long-term US Treasury yields to multi-year highs as stronger activity data and oil above $100 stoked growth and inflation concerns.
- 02US Treasury officials expanded buybacks of 20- and 30-year debt, and rising yields lifted reported 30-year mortgage rates.
- 03NY Fed President John Williams said the Fed still had more work to lower inflation and called another rate hike reasonable after last week's policy move.
- 04Higher yields and oil constrained risk appetite, leaving US equities mixed, European indices weaker, and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to retreat from recent peaks.
Global Market Summary
US equities were mixed, with SPX slipping 0.02%, DJIA down 0.31%, and ^IXIC essentially flat at +0.01% as the global bond selloff and oil above $100 per barrel limited risk appetite. European indices weakened, with DAX down 0.57%, FRA40 lower by 0.52%, and UKX off 0.24% while long-dated US Treasury yields climbed toward 5.444% on the 30-year and into the mid-5% range on the 10-year. In Asia, 000001.SS ended unchanged (0.0%) with volume near 903 million shares.
Top Movers
Sector performance was mixed, led by XLC (up), XLV (up), and XLE (up), while XLB (down) and XLU (-0.98%) underperformed. Among single-name movers, TWST (+16.11%), GRAL (+15.38%), SECZ (+15.11%), CDNA (+13.00%), and WRBY (+12.51%) outperformed, whereas ACAD (-12.78%), GEN (-12.05%), GIL (-12.04%), VKTX (-11.76%), and KGC (-11.59%) declined.
Macro highlights
Global bond selling accelerated, pushing the US 30-year Treasury yield to about 5.444%, its highest since 2004, and the 10-year into the 5.13% to 5.158% range as stronger economic and business-activity data and oil above $100 per barrel stoked growth and inflation concerns; US Treasury officials responded by expanding buybacks of 20- and 30-year debt and rising yields lifted reported 30-year mortgage rates to about 7%. NY Fed President John Williams said the central bank still has more work to do to lower inflation and called another Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end reasonable after a move last week took the policy rate to 3.75% to 4.00%; rate markets reflected that stance, with investors pricing roughly a 70% to 71% probability of a hike at the October 27–28 2026 meeting while the US Dollar Index traded near 101.10 and oil was about $105 per barrel. In Europe, the German Ifo Business Climate index for September printed at 89.9 versus 88.8 previously and around an 89 consensus, and the SNB kept its policy rate at 0%, nudged its conditional inflation projections to about 0.7% to 0.8% for 2026 to 2028, and allowed USD/CHF (USDCHF) to trade around 0.827 after softening its foreign-exchange intervention language.
News that moved markets
BlackBerry (BB) raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to 616 to 636 million dollars from 594 to 621 million and reported second quarter revenue of 163.3 million versus a 145.6 million dollar LSEG estimate, with its QNX division up 27% to 80.3 million and a new commercial-vehicle contract expected to add more than 100 million dollars to royalty backlog; US listed BlackBerry (BB) shares rose about 3% in premarket trading. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) retreated from a recent peak near 87000 dollars to intraday lows in the low 83000s and traded around 84300 dollars as the US 10-year Treasury yield climbed above 5% to roughly 5.11% and a weak 70 billion dollar five-year auction cleared 3.1 basis points above the 5.002% when-issued yield, triggering liquidation of about 454 million dollars of long crypto positions despite more than 2.3 billion dollars of net inflows into US spot Bitcoin (BTCUSD) ETFs over the prior four sessions. In commodities and shipping, Saudi crude exports averaged 5.28 million barrels per day in September 2026 with Hormuz flows near 2.9 million barrels per day versus about 700000 in August, and war related rerouting plus increased ship-to-ship operations outside Hormuz helped lift VLCC one year time-charter rates toward 150000 dollars per day and drive an exchange-traded fund tracking tanker freight futures to a roughly 3700% year-to-date gain, while India's National Stock Exchange raised 2.4 billion dollars in an IPO priced at 1785 rupees per share after demand reached about 5.7 times subscription, valuing the bourse around 4.4 trillion rupees. Stewards completed its 90 million dollar acquisition of Envy Pompano Beach, expanding its South Florida real assets portfolio, and RS2 Healthcare Partners completed an investment in KMM Group while appointing J. Mark King as chief executive officer. Announced deals included PLACE agreeing to acquire fintech Maxwell to bolster its platform for lenders and institutional partners, Statecraft acquiring Daybreak to accelerate efficiency in federal services, and Buchanan Capital Partners buying Churchill Tower, a Class A office tower in the Dallas Park Central submarket. Additional announced transactions saw Cloopen Group Holding Limited secure shareholder approval for a merger agreement, Arcline backed DwyerOmega move to acquire SOR Controls Group, Specialty Program Group acquire HCM Unlocked, Vertiv agree to purchase King Environmental Services, and EMARKETER acquire the research arm of RetailX.
Upcoming Session: Key Events
- 01Germany GfK Consumer Confidence (OCT) — consensus -27.5 vs -26.6 prior, Sep 25, 06:00 AM | Consumer sentiment reading hints at households' willingness to spend and economic outlook.
- 02US Durable Goods Orders MoM (AUG) — consensus -0.4% vs 1.1% prior, Sep 25, 12:30 PM | Measures big-ticket manufacturing demand and capex momentum within the industrial sector.
Upcoming Session: Tickers to Watch
- 01BlackBerry (BB) — Raised fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to 616 to 636 million dollars and reported second quarter revenue of 163.3 million versus a 145.6 million dollar LSEG estimate, with US-listed shares up about 3% in premarket trading. Watch the NYSE open for open-range activity as premarket gains may prompt further position adjustments.
- 02Bitcoin (BTCUSD) — Retreated from a recent peak near 87000 dollars to intraday lows in the low 83000s and traded around 84300 dollars after the US 10-year climbed above 5% to roughly 5.11% and a weak 70 billion dollar five-year auction cleared 3.1 basis points above the 5.002% when-issued yield, triggering about 454 million dollars of long liquidations. Monitor the next session open for elevated volatility and order-flow imbalances as auction-driven liquidations and ongoing spot ETF inflows are dig
- 03US 30-year Treasury (TYX) — Global bond selling pushed the US 30-year Treasury yield to about 5.444%, its highest since 2004, prompting Treasury officials to expand buybacks of 20- and 30-year debt and lifting reported 30-year mortgage rates to about 7%. Watch the fixed-income open for repricing and liquidity shifts as buyback mechanics are absorbed.
- 04USDCHF (USDCHF) — The SNB kept its policy rate at 0%, nudged its conditional inflation projections to about 0.7% to 0.8% and softened FX intervention language, allowing USDCHF to trade around 0.827. Watch Asian and European FX sessions for further adjustments as markets reassess Swiss intervention odds.
Key Takeaways
- 01Long-dated US Treasury yields rose to multi-year highs, with the 30-year pushing to its highest level since 2004.
- 02Risk appetite narrowed: S&P 500 (SPX) slipped, the Dow declined, and European markets weakened amid the bond selloff and oil above $100.
- 03Tanker freight rates and related ETFs gained sharply as Saudi crude flows rose and rerouting around Hormuz boosted ship-to-ship operations.
- 04Corporate activity was busy: BlackBerry (BB) raised fiscal 2027 revenue guidance and multiple M&A and investment deals were announced across sectors.
References
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/iran-flights-to-uae-halted-as-us-sanctions-bite-tehran-s-network
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/saudis-gulf-oil-surge-drives-exports-to-highest-since-war-began
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/saudis-ease-asia-oil-crunch-with-100-million-barrel-sales-flurry
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/supertanker-rally-lures-investors-as-war-squeezes-vessel-supply
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/singapore-court-appoints-kpmg-to-manage-trader-radiant-world
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/jpmorgan-s-peters-favors-stocks-as-higher-yields-test-earnings
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/fed-s-williams-says-more-work-needed-to-bring-down-us-inflation
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/snb-ends-war-footing-over-franc-strength-as-rate-kept-at-zero
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-23/india-s-nse-ipo-how-the-national-stock-exchange-listing-will-work
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-24/nse-to-debut-in-test-of-india-investor-faith-in-long-term-growth
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/23/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/22/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
- https://www.axios.com/2026/09/24/treasury-yields-inflation-bonds
- https://www.yahoo.com/news/us/articles/us-aviation-sanctions-disrupt-iran-210536371.html
- https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/articles/markets-mixed-chinas-xi-arrives-024403298.html